Quick Overview
Predicting Top tracks trader performance on Polymarket and Kalshi to rank users by profit and specific win rates on a real-time leaderboard.
About Predicting Top
What is Predicting Top?
Predicting Top is a real-time leaderboard for prediction market traders. It tracks performance data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. The site ranks users based on a proprietary score. This score is a calculation of profit and loss, win rate, consistency, and return on investment.
Users filter the data by day, week, month, or all-time timeframes. The tool identifies specific trader positions and trending markets. It has profiles for individual traders that include Sharpe ratios and profit factors. This site provides transparency for competitive forecasting.
Key Features
Multi-Platform Leaderboard
The tool tracks top traders from Polymarket and Kalshi. It aggregates data from multiple prediction platforms into a single view.
Real-time Profit Monitoring
The dashboard displays daily profit and loss figures for individual accounts. It updates performance metrics across day, week, and month timeframes.
Performance Scoring System
A weighted formula evaluates traders based on consistency, returns, win rate, max loss, and profit factor. This score provides a standardized ranking metric.
Risk Analysis Metrics
The site calculates Sharpe ratios by dividing returns by volatility. It also tracks the win percentage and ROI for listed market participants.
Trader Social Integration
The interface links user profiles to external X accounts and original platform portfolios. Users see trader join dates and profile images directly.
Market Filtering Options
Users toggle between platform-specific data or all exchanges. Filter settings allow users to view only accounts with profit gains above five dollars.
Pros & Cons
Pros
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Cross-platform performance trackingThe dashboard aggregates profit and loss data from Polymarket and Kalshi in a single table.
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Custom trader scoresA proprietary formula combines consistency, returns, win rate, and risk metrics to rank market participants.
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Historical profit filtersUsers can view earnings data across daily, weekly, monthly, or all-time timeframes.
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Direct wallet and social linksProfiles include links to the original exchange accounts and associated Twitter handles for further research.
Cons
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Small trader sampleThe leaderboard only tracks 185 individuals which is a tiny fraction of the active users on major prediction exchanges.
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Missing market platformsThe current data excludes results from significant competitors like PredictIt or Manifold Markets.
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Opaque score calculationThe formula for the consistency and profit factor percentages relies on internal logic that is not fully explained to the end user.
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Incomplete profile dataMany entries in the list are missing a calculated score or recent win percentage because the system lacks sufficient data history.
Frequently Asked Questions
The tool tracks the performance of traders on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. It shows real-time profit and loss data for these individuals.
The score consists of five parts. It uses consistency at twenty-five percent and returns at twenty-five percent. Win rate is twenty percent of the total. Max loss and profit factor each contribute fifteen percent.
The leaderboard aggregates data from Polymarket and Kalshi. It also includes platforms labeled as Opinion and Myriad.
The site has filters for different time frames. Users select from all-time data or specific windows for one month, one week, and one day.
The leaderboard displays Sharpe ratio and win percentage for traders. It shows return on investment and the total number of days since a trader joined the platform.
