Chance cover image

Chance

3.1 (147 reviews)
Polymarket Kalshi
Quick Overview

Chance aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi into a single terminal to help traders find arbitrage opportunities and track whale activity.

About Chance

What is Chance?

Chance is a platform for prediction market data. It aggregates price feeds and events from Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict.fun, and Opinion Labs into one interface. Users track market trends and volume spikes through a unified terminal. The tool has specific filters to find arbitrage opportunities between different exchanges.

The software has automated alerts for whale activity and wallet tracking. It monitors social media news and notifies users when headlines impact market prices. Traders use the system to analyze leaderboards and historical performance data for individual wallets. Chance provides a single feed for spreads and sentiment changes across all major markets.

Key Features

Multi-Market Aggregation
The terminal combines Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion Labs, and Predict.fun into a single feed. Users view prices and trends from multiple platforms in one interface.
Universal Watchlist and Smart Alerts
The system monitors volume spikes and whale activity across markets. It sends instant notifications for spread compression and price breakouts.
Wallet Tracking and Analytics
The tool tracks top wallets and their trade entries. It displays total volume, all-time profit, and position sizing for specific addresses.
News and Source Monitoring
The platform monitors Twitter and news sources for relevant updates. It identifies information that impacts specific event outcomes and market prices.
Advanced Search and Filtering
Users filter events by volume spikes or price movements over ten percent. The search tool identifies arbitrage opportunities between platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Pros & Cons

Pros
  • Unified market terminalThe interface displays events and price trends from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict.fun in a single feed.
  • Arbitrage opportunity filtersUsers search for price discrepancies between different platforms to find profit gaps.
  • Whale wallet trackingThe system monitors large trades and sends alerts when specific addresses open new positions.
  • Automated news monitoringIntegrated Twitter tracking notifies users when recent news drops that affects specific market outcomes.
Cons
  • Limited platform supportThe current selection excludes many smaller or emerging prediction markets because the service only aggregates four specific providers.
  • Noise from low liquidityAlerts for price breakouts and spread compression include markets with low volume where small trades create misleading signals.
  • Manual execution requiredUsers must leave the dashboard to place trades on individual exchanges because the interface provides data analysis without direct order execution.
  • Delayed sentiment dataSocial monitoring relies on external sources which often report information after prices have already adjusted to the news.

Frequently Asked Questions

Chance is a platform for prediction market users. It combines data from Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion Labs, and Predict.fun into one interface. Users track prices and trends across these different venues without switching tabs.
The tool supports Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion Labs, and Predict.fun. The developers intend to add more platforms in the future.
The system sends notifications for spread compression and volume spikes. It also tracks large trades from high value wallets. Users receive alerts when prices move quickly or when news breaks on Twitter.
The tool has wallet tracking and analytics. It shows total volume, realized profit, and current positions for specific addresses. This feature allows users to monitor the moves of successful traders.
The search and filter system identifies arbitrage opportunities. It compares prices for the same event on different markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. It also flags markets with tight spreads under 4 cents.

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