Monitor the Situation

3.7 (76 reviews)
Polymarket Kalshi Limitless
Quick Overview

Monitor the Situation is a data-tracking platform that uses live Polymarket prediction market data to display real-time market odds for candidates competing to be the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee in US politics.

About Monitor the Situation

What is Monitor the Situation?

Monitor the Situation is a data-tracking platform focused on the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee race. We display real-time market odds, trading volume, and price changes from prediction platforms like Polymarket.

Instead of relying on traditional surveys, we provide a clear view of actual prediction markets. You can easily track the current chances of major political figures such as Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Josh Shapiro winning the nomination. We organize the daily numbers, market liquidity, and share prices to show you exactly who the market believes will lead the ticket in November 2028.

Who is it for?

This website is designed for people who closely follow US politics and prefer data-driven insights. It is highly useful for political analysts, data researchers, election watchers, and anyone trying to understand the early trends of the 2028 US Presidential Election.

If you are interested in market statistics, political odds, or just want to see the current standing of names like Pete Buttigieg, Gretchen Whitmer, Jon Ossoff, or even public figures like Michelle Obama and Mark Cuban, this platform is for you. It gives a direct and factual snapshot of prediction market data without the noise of traditional news media.

How it works?

Our system collects and displays live data directly from the prediction market venue. The market works by pricing shares in cents (¢), which translates to a candidate's percentage chance of winning. For example, if a "Yes" share for a candidate costs 25.1¢, the market values their current chance to be the nominee at 25.1%.

We organize these potential candidates by their 24-hour trading volume, active share price, market spread, and total liquidity. You can view the full list of outcomes and see the exact dollar amount traded for every candidate. The tracking runs continuously until the market ends on November 7, 2028, allowing you to monitor shifts in market confidence over the next few years.

Key Features

Real-Time Prediction Tracking
Monitors live market prices and percentage probabilities for potential 2028 Democratic presidential nominees.
Order Book Transparency
Displays detailed share availability, historical pricing, and total market volume for every candidate.
Venue Integration
Sources data directly from Polymarket to provide accurate liquidity and 24-hour trading volume metrics.
Candidate Comparison
Aggregates performance data for dozens of figures ranging from political veterans to high-profile celebrities.
Liquidity Analysis
Tracks total capital and spread metrics to assess the depth and stability of the speculation market.
Outcome Probability
Calculates the 'Yes' and 'No' chances for each outcome to reflect current public sentiment and betting trends.

Frequently Asked Questions

Gavin Newsom is currently the frontrunner in the market with a 25.1% chance, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff.
The market is scheduled to end on November 7, 2028.
The total volume for the Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 market has reached over $13.8 million.
Yes, the market includes several public figures such as Oprah Winfrey, LeBron James, MrBeast, and Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson, all currently showing around a 1% chance.
The percentage represents the current trading price in cents; for example, a price of 25.1¢ for Gavin Newsom equates to a 25.1% implied probability of him winning the nomination according to market participants.
The market data and pricing are sourced directly from Polymarket.
The market shows a liquidity pool of approximately $51,730.27 to support trades.
As of the latest data, Kamala Harris holds a 5.2% chance, placing her behind candidates like Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

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